does the president loose his drivers liscense forever

None of these signs are looking great for President Biden right now. Some national crises, like 9/11, are associated with unexpectedly strong midterm performances for the president’s party - but others are associated with blowout defeats. Or maybe they’re about the economy or, more specifically, real personal income growth. Maybe the results are mainly about presidential approval these days. Other theories focus on why some presidents tend to do worse than others in midterms. Others emphasize the public’s tendency to sour on an incumbent president. Political scientists have argued about it for decades - there’s a 1988 paper called “ The Puzzle of Midterm Loss.” Some theories focus on lower turnout among the president’s supporters.

“It’s not quite a law of physics, but it’s probably as close as you’re going to get in the social sciences,” says Carlos Algara, a professor of political science at Claremont Graduate University.ĭespite the persistence of this pattern, we know surprisingly little about why it happens - and why, every so often, it’s somehow averted. The historical pattern is clear, and ominous for Joe Biden and Democrats this year: The president’s party usually does poorly in midterm elections.

Does the president loose his drivers liscense forever